Within five minutes of the closing of the New Hampshire Republican primary polls, two things became clear: 1) Mitt Romney would win the primary; 2) Ron Paul would win the young vote (18 to 29).
The question for both then became: “By how much?”
The answer: “A lot.”
Mitt Romney took 39.4 percent of the vote – clearing the 38 percent market that pundits had set for him.
Paul took a whopping 47 percent of the youth vote – only one percent lower than his 48 percent posting among young Iowa caucus goers.
I had predicted that Paul would win the youth vote, but I imagined it would be closer to 40 percent, given the heightened profile of Huntsman in New Hampshire. Huntsman did take a chunk of the young vote – 14 percent – but the youth numbers of Santorum (8 percent) and Gingrich (3 percent) came in so low, that Paul could still grab his nearly 50 percent.
Other stats:
25 percent of the youth vote went to Mitt Romney.
15 percent of eligible young voter participated in the primary. ** (CIRCLE)
The youth vote made up 12 percent of the total vote. (CNN)
Without the youth vote, Paul would have only barely beaten Huntsman.
Youth vote:
Paul – 47
Romney – 25
Huntsman – 14
Santorum – 8
Gingrich – 3
Perry – 0
Very detailed exit poll: Fox News Exit Poll
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