Is Ron Paul wrong about Iran?

IS RON PAUL WRONG ABOUT IRAN?
What is more likely? Circa 2003:

That Iraq has WMDs and poses a great threat to the United States?

Or what Ron Paul said—that America was overreacting and we would find ourselves in a quagmire?

In 2003, everyone said Ron Paul was wrong. In 2011, most Americans agree that Paul was right.

What is more likely? Circa 2011:

That Iran might have a WMD and poses a great threat to the United States?

Or what Ron Paul says—that America is overreacting concerning Iran and going to war with that country will find the US in a quagmire once again?

The notion that Paul is being “absurd” in his policy toward Iran does not make sense if history, experience and common sense have any bearing on the matter.